2020 Historical Daily Bets

Finishing Total Stakes 123pts +90.77pts. +73.8% ROI 

+£1815.40 to a £20 stake

We had a good month in June, hopefully it will continue into July. We go again Starting with…….

Running Total for June. Stakes 74pts +47.71pts. +64.67% ROI as of 27th June

3 June
3.55 Kempton
Billesdon Brook 2pt win @9/2(unib)
She doesn’t have a great record first time out, however she has always re-appeared into better company than this and she has never been in better form than she was in at the tail end of last season.  There should be plenty of pace on here She’s going to travel in mid division, potentially follow scentasia through and needs a gap to open up late to finish stronger than her rival. – 2

2pt win @4/1(B365)
Nazeef
On the other end of the scale, Nazeef is very unexposed, she easily beat the very consistent salayel by 6 lengths when last seen, which is a big upturn in her form and  shows she is very much on the incline. she is receiving 7 pounds from Billesdon Brook here and 3 pounds from her more experienced stablemate scentasia. Stall 13 normally wouldn’t make things easy, however it will give her time to get into a rythhym and like Billesdon Brook she possesses a sharp turn of foot, with the pace infront of her set to suit. +8

4th June.
3.55 Newcastle
Troubador 1pt EW @10/1 1/5 4P (coral)
Had a lot of runs and progressed throughout the season last year. His run at york finishing  2nd when giving 7 pounds and a beating to rose of kildare reads well. And trying to give 9 pounds to summer sands in the red car trophy was a very lofty task which he came out of with great credit.  He doesn’t have the group class form of other contenders here but I believe his form is under rated and he gets his chance off level weights. – 2

Glasvegas 0.5pt win @28/1 (Hills)
Caught the eye in the windsor castle stakes finishing just being platinum star finishing well over 5f and looking like a step up in trip was to be on the cards.  He  ran last time out in the Redcar trophy where he was well fancied and ran poorly, he may not have handled the underfoot conditions and I’m willing to give him a chance here.  Imo he’s not an EW prospect as he’s either on a going day, or may not travel and get into the race. I think he’s worth a small shot at causing a shock. Needs to drop in grade. – 1

5th June Newmarket 3.00

Momkin 1pt EW 12/1 (4 places sky)

Finished 10th in last year’s guineas before running in the Jersey where he was held up and taking a passage through when he got hampered and lost his chance. Imo he was running into the places. He was then beaten on his next 2 starts by dukes of hazzard who went on to Frank the form winning a group 2 in the celebration mile. Momkins final start came in a group 3 over 7f duly Running on well at the finish without quite being able to get to suedois who is a consistent 7f specialist.

A step up in trip to a Mile here in a strong ran listed race should be exactly what he requires, if he manages to pick up where he left off last season he should be finishing well and in the shake up at the tail end of the race. – 2

6th June shades of blue 1.50 Newm 8/1 (bet365) 2pts EW. I actually backed shades of blue last year in the prix de l’abbaye where I though she had an outside chance of being involved in the finish of a group 1 until conditions deteriated and her first run on very soft ground ended in minor disappointment. . The winner of that race glass slippers finished behind her previously in the group 3 summer stakes which showed she was capable to be in the mix.

Shades of blue on her next start was narrowly beaten by perfection in a listed race, who herself had only just been narrowly beaten by Billesdon Brook at group 3 level who was very much in peak form. Imo the form of shades of blue is strong enough in context to this race, (even though it is a group 3) and she is still herself still unexposed to more improvement. I’m expecting her to be involved in the finish here, and hopefully progress to get another shot at a group 1 later in the season. Slowly away, Bad positioning throughout. ultimately given no chanceone to keep an eye on for future entries. – 4

Jouska 5.20 Newmarket 12/1 (coral) 0.75pt EW. Jouska will be having her first run in handicap company with an alloted mark of 98 which I believe is fair. In Her last run she was crying out for a step up in trip back to 6f which she gets here. She was ridden along and stayed on well late in the race to finish 3rd, 1 place behind one of our horses to follow in pistoletto. She has ran in good company against the likes of mislisle and another of our horses to follow in dark lady. Although she is near the top of the weights there is nothing of outstanding quality In opposition and I would like to think over the 6f here with a little luck in running she has the ability to be able to come home late into the money and potentially pick up the leaders. – 1.5

7th June 4.35 haydock 11/2, 2pt win (PP/BF) Liberty beach ran last year in the molecombe where she did not get the best passage through the race as a few horses got in her way, but she showed once again a very potent change of gear. She was pulled out, found the gap, and off she went. She Then went on to run over 6f in the lowther, running on in the final furlong, not quite able to get to living inthepast. I believe that she is worth persisting with over the 6f which she gets today, all her best work is done late so she will be worth watching at the end of the race as she picks her way through and hopefully gets to the leader. +11

8th June 5.05 Naas. Pistoletto 10/1 Hills 2pt win. as per the 3yos to follow……. Pistoletto Ran very well in the Weatherbys Racing Bank 300,000 2-Y-O Stakes at Doncaster and was well in contention before tiring, showing that a drop in trip would see him in a better light. He was well gambled on and disappointed next time out over 6f. But on his final start dropped to 5f in a group 3 at Newmarket he went down by just a neck to good vibes. I could see him winning a simular contest this season at the minimum trip. Whether he starts back over 6f and then drops in trip again as the season progresses, 5f is where I see him able to put in his best performance. If he does start over 6f he may well go un noticed and be of good value when he does drop to the minimum trip.

He is sporting 1st time blinkers here over the minimum trio of 5f so there is every chance he is going to bounce out and try to make all in the way I have been waiting for. Hopefully that will be rewarded here – 2

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8th Haydock 3.15 9/1 Hills 1 pt win JM Jackson once thought off as highly as raffle prize, JM Jackson has now found herself at class 4 handicap level. An opening mark of 80 for her introduction to this level seems very much on the lenient side to me, although a trip of over 7f on paper may be as far as she wants to go, the drop in class could well do the trick where her opening price of 9/1 looks generous on her to do so. – 1

Glen force 2.15 haydock. 1pt EW @ 7/1. B365. his 1st run in handicap after 2 very credible runs in Novice races for Mark Prescott. He disappointed last time out when an even money shot, however that did the trick in getting him in here off a mark of 79. With a switch to turf and the drop in grade more to his liking, I’m hoping he can lay up a little more prominent throughout the race and make ammends here. +0.4

Caidok navan 2.30 12/1 (365) 1 pt EW
Mick halford had a 13% strike rate with 2yos last year.  Which yielded a profit of 13.25 pts to level stakes. His horses are often overlooked as debutants, however the quality in which he is receiving is slowly going up, year after year, imo he is a stable worth keeping an eye on.

This looks a maiden of quality however caidok is not lacking it himself, although in lesser known colours, he was  a 175,000gns purchase as a foal.  Is Reportedly  working well, showing plenty of pace and I’d be hopeful he’ll be good enough to get involved over the minimum trip of 5f first time up here. – 2

13th June. 12.15am

Currently been waiting all day for a drift on well of wisdom in the 2.05 at Sandown. 9/2 2pt EW. Despite being top weight he has some very good form on his travels, and should be fit enough today. Giving over a stone to the fav won’t be easy work, however he has a credible win chance with it hard for me to see him out of the frame. Oh purple reign is one to note in the race, he has come down to a mark of 95, it won’t be long before he reaches a mark he can win off. He wants atleast 7f. He’s not a pretty watch as he’s ridden away early, however he keeps finding off the bridle and is certainly not one to be laying in running if he looks beaten. +10.8

14.33.

13th June Mrs bouquet 2.30 Goodwood 5/1 (lads) 1pt EW. Mrs bouquet had sove very solid form last season, working her way up from nurseries, and progressing to win a conditions race at goodwood over 5f, finishing the race well, she comfortably beat r faheys mighty spirit, who has subsequently ran well at listed level when finishing 5th beaten under 2L. And was 2nd in a similar conditions race, where the winner went on to win at listed level in France. The way Mrs bouquet finishes her races, the step back up to 6f will be very much to her liking.

Although she is stepping up a level in opposition, to combat that, she receives an allowance for being the only 3yo in the field. With her prior runs built up in nurseries, she won’t be lacking for experience, and I think she can put her allowance to good use and finish the race well, to go close here. – 2

17. 41

2.35 Doncaster Dakota Gold 9/4. 2 pts win. I was a huge fan of Dakota gold last season, a strike rate of 5 from 7 last year can only be admired when you take in to consideration the 3 big handicap fields he destroyed in a row. He moved up to listed level and duly obliged from danzeno, with the classy perfection back in 4th. he was narrowly beaten giving away weight to maid in India, who has come out recently to Frank the form by finishing close up to the classy liberty beach.

On Dakota golds final start of the season at listed level, he made all over 5f and ran on gamely to be unchallenged at the line. He picks things back up on Sunday at Doncaster over what I deem to be his best trip of 5f, I’d expect him to make all here, pick up where he left off and be very hard to catch. – 2

16th
Lavenders blue    duke of Cambridge  coral 6/1 2pts EW – 4

17th
Russian emperor Hampton court  Hills 4 pts EW 7/2 wed.    NAP +17.5

18th 1.50 ascot. Regal Reality 13/2 0.5pt EW various. Regal reality ran some very good races last year in much tougher company than this. Hopefully he will appreciate the drop in grade here, he has plenty of ability however he can really get himself worked up before a race, the current race day conditions can only be a benefit to his temperament. All being well he should be there at the finish.. +0.31

08.58 Regal Reality. 0.75 EW 9/1. Go back in at 9/1. +.0.94

19th June Al dabaran queens vase5/1 BFSB. 2.5pts EW. I like Al dabaran here, he is a quality horse and although he has ran more times than most of the opposition, he is unexposed at this trip with improvement to come from a mark which is already high enough to go very close. His form in France when finishing just infront of the summit, (who beat Victor ludorum 1st time up then finished 2nd in the French 2000 guineas) is of a very good standard in relation to this race, in every start he has stuck at the task all the way to the line, and I’m subsequently looking forward to seeing what he can do back over here and up in trip. He has form on soft and I’ll be disappointed if he isn’t there at the finish. +0.63

Back now

One Master. Diamond jubilee 7/1. 2.5 pts EW. Bet365

She should like the underfoot conditions here, she came a very good 2nd over the same course and distance on champions day. This race doesn’t look as deep to my eye. I think she has very chance. I’d be disappointed if she’s out fo the frame. – 5

21st June

5.15 leopardstown one Voice coral 6/1 2pts EW. Very solid run recently, in a race of which looks as strong as this renewal. She should be able to back up that run and go well in a race which she’s fully entitled to be involved at the finish. To my eye she looks considerably overpriced. +14.4 pts

11. 49

In the same race. I have been waiting on seeing if the going would ease a little. With 9mm of rain and the ground now Good, Good to Yielding in places, I think its worth taking a bit of cover on Joseph O’Brien’s A New Dawn. 1pt EW @ 9/1 Bet 365 I don’t think she liked the ground first time up on her reappearance and the trip was a shade short, I’m willing to write that run off completely, and give her a chance at 9/1. she has the run under her belt, I can see improvement for the step up in trip, and the ground is no longer on the fast side. I see no reason why everything isn’t in line for her to run a much better race, she’s a danger to our selection which has shortened dramatically over night and could well run in to the places along side her. – 2pts

22nd June Limerick 5.40 Luis van zandt 1pt EW 8/1 hills. Luis van zandt has had a Change of Trainer from Tony Martin to Gavin Cromwell, and runs here off a mark of 91 with a 5 pound claimer on board. He went off at 9/4 favourite on his last start over 2m4 on soft ground in a similar handicap hurdle where the ground softened dramatically through the day and only weakened his chances. He was a non runner the previous 2 times pulled due to simular ground. He has previously ran considerably better on decent ground of which he finally gets here. The drop back to 2 miles will help, and I can see him doing a lot better today. +0.6

22nd june 6.10 LimerickMystery stowaway 10/1 0.5pts EW bet 365. Mystery stowaway has been tried highly and running in much better contests than this over 2 miles where everything seemed to be happening to quickly around her, the step up to 2m6 will be to her benefit. Over the longer trip, in lesser company she should find things a little easier here. The short priced favourite looks a decent horse in context to this race, without looking unbeatable, and everybody knows what can happen over obstacles. +0.5

23rd June 2.15 Beverley Perfect rose 1pt EW 6/1 hills. Perfect rose gets an opening mark of 77 on her handicap debut, I believe that to be lenient, she has had quite the break of over a year, however that is factored into her current price. Last time out she was seen coming 2nd to Kevin Ryan’s Rhea who was subsequently only beaten half a length next time out in a listed race. The 3rd readily won a maiden next time out, The 4th was considered good enough to run in the Chesham, with the 6th subsequently runner up in the Lingfield oaks trial. If perfect rose is ready enough first time out this season, she may be good enough to take this. At the prices I think it’s worth the risk. – 2

23rd June 6.40 roscommon Quamino 15/2 1pt EW his hurdle mark is 25 pounds lower than his chase mark. He has been kept in good company and acquitted himself OK over fences. This is a drop in class of which he should appreciate, if he shows his old spark here, he’s thrown in. +9.38

25th June 3.15 haydock. Under the stars 11/2 1pt EW (b365) more exposed than some of the others however she sets the standard of the one to beat on paper. They have to come up to her level and it’s not guaranteed that they will. Boomer rates a danger, however she disappointed 1st time up and is best watched. +6.19

26th June 6.45 curragh Gee Rex 13/2 (lads) 5 places 0.5pt EW. He is one I have been watching and he Ran a nice race last time out upped to 7f. He has gone up 3 pounds for that effort, however he is stepping up another furlong to the mile which is where I see him being at his best. He’s capable of showing up well here. There’s one to note of Aiden’s in the race who could be thrown in on her handicap debut having ran in much stronger races (love bracelet) she is one to watch for me, but if anyone already fancied her, I wouldn’t put you off. It shouldn’t be long before she wins one of these. However she may benefit from today’s experience. So I’ve settled on Gee Rex to use his experience today. +4.06

8.34PM update after much consideration and the 5 places available I think it’s worth going in double handed and adding love lace should you have the account available. She was as big as 9/1 when I first considered her. But 7s imo is still fine, now I have looked in more detail. Sky bet. Love bracelet 7/1 0.5pts EW 5 places. – 1

27th June. 5.25 curragh Elusive King 0.5pt EW @ 8/1 (coral). Elusive King caught the eye when running in a decent handicap at Naas last year finishing 4th behind in from the cold. He came out this year in what looked like a very strong handicap to me with good quality unexposed horses finishing infront of him that imo will win plenty of races between them. Elusive King beaten 3 1/4 lengths has kept his mark of 85 which I believe to be workable. He’s dropping back to 6f here where there looks to be plenty of pace on, he will be doing all his best work late and hopefully can arrive on the premises at the tail end of the race.+0.5

29th june

29th june
11.25 La Test De Buch
Spirit Of The Bay 0.5pts EW
13/2 EW (b365)
. Spirit of the bay has previously ran in better races than this, she finished a length behind Femme D’action and 5L behind the winner Thrilling in a listed Hurdle at Auteuil in September, she was out quickly again running well enough finishing 6L behind the useful president line. However she then bombed over fences which is likely why she is priced the way she is here, that was her 3rd run in a short space of time, I would personally be willing to forgive that and hopefully she can go well here with the benefit of a break.

July 1st Leopardstown 1.55. Know it all 9/2 1pt EW various. She’s a solid horse who I have been watching for a good while. She was Last seen over 7f, I believe there is more to come now stepped up to a Mile. With the run under her belt, I’d be hoping she goes close here and is involved at the business end. Ridenza was a NR in the Irish 1000 guineas when priced at 16/1, is very interesting and worth watching for similar contests in the near future, if any one wanted to take a chance on her I wouldn’t put you off. However know it all is the one for me here. +5.4

2nd July Sligo 6.10 Canford light 12/1 0.5 pt EW PP (4 places) I’m willing to take a small punt on Canford light here. He makes his handicap debut of a mark of 59. He had previously ran in maidens over 7f where he didn’t show too much however looked like he’d benefit from a step up in trip. He was then rightly stepped up in trip to 10f however it was in way to deep waters in a pretty decent maiden over 10f when priced at 250/1. He ran as you’d expect. Imo They may have been fishing for a lowly handicap mark. He goes up even further to 12f here and in to handicap company where the waters aren’t so deep, he will be able to show his level of ability here and if he’s good enough he may well get involved. It will be interesting to see if any money at all comes for him in the market that may indicate to his chances. If its not today, he’s one to keep an eye on for future engagements. – 1

Epsom 2.25 Safe voyage 6/4 bet365 3 pts win quite simply I think he’s better than these. The form of his 2nd last time out fully entitles him to win. I’ll be disappointed if he doesn’t. +4.5

4th July Naas 4.40 Fame and aclaim 7/1. 0.5pts EW (bet365). His form when running in a maiden behind ten year ticket where he went off fav has worked out very well . 6f was too short for him next time out. Up to a Mile on his handicap debut it was a much improved effort and he shaped well when 3rd behind so suave running off a mark of 82. He retains that Mark today and with a run under his belt over his correct trip of a mile, I’d like to think he can get involved at the business end of the race. +0.2

5th July Chantily 2.10 (4places) Ocean atlantique 13/2 0.5 pts EW. Pao alto 6/1 0.5pts EW. Its a big field and there are lots of unexposed horses, however I think the pick of them are pao alto and ocean atlantique. Imo the pair of them are very good. Pao alto has more tactical pace and touch button acceleration. ocean atlantique is a thorough stayer with a touch of class. They’re Going to need a bit of luck in running here however I’m hopeful that atleast one of the 2, may well turn over the short priced fav Victor ludorum, who tbh I think has been the best of a fairly average bunch over a mile and may well run into 1 or 2 here. Ecrivain may improve for the step up in trip, his run last time was too bad to be true. – 2

2.30 roscommon Bolivar 0.5pt EW @ 12/1 I highly rate napa Valley who he ran into on debut. There was a bit of money for Bolivar that day backed down from 10/1 to 4/1 at the off. He ran ok but definitely shaped as if today’s step up in trip to 12f would be right up his street. There could be a few useful horses in here, and he may run into one. however Bolivar is not without a chance himself. +7.5

Pontefract 12.45 Aiya 0.5 pt EW 8/1 Skybet (4 places) Aiya has been a bitter disappointment since being purchased for £250,00 at the breeze up sales. From a peak of 84 he’s now dropped down to his last winning mark of 73 which was also at the same track. I’d be hopeful that he can do better today from his revised mark and back up to 12f. – 1

7th july 6.00 kilarney Peregrine run 1pt win 11/4 bet 365. Peregrine run comes here having had a prep on the flat, he may well have a fitness advantage as well as being a very consistent mid 150s horse. Robin des foret may well travel into the race looking like the winner, however he doesn’t find a great deal off the bridle. if peregrine run is within 2 lengths coming to the last, I’d fancy my chances. +2.75

8th July 4.40 Newbury Nelson gay 5/1 bet 365 1pt EW Nelson gay ran on debut going off fav in a hot maiden behind the lir jet. He shaped as if a step up to 6f would suit. (the 4th behind him has subsequently won) He went on to ascot and ran in the norfolk over 5f finishing once again behind the lir jet back in 10th place a neck behind the classy eye of heaven. I think it was a very strong race and the pace set was a very strong on. He’s back down to class 5 Novice company here and also up to 6f with Ryan moore on board. I think everything’s right for him to run to the best of his ability. I’d like to think that he’s good enough to be bang there at the business end of the race. +0

9th July Newmarket 4.10 Embihaar. 1 pt win 5/2 various she is a classy horse, ideally she will go off in front, she may not be caught however if something comes to her, she’s very game in a battle. Hopefully she is ready to go first time up and will take all the beating. – 1

1.50 new market
Al Suhail. 1pt EW 5/1. (hills)
I like Al Suhail a lot. This time, I’d be willing to write off a very poor run in the guineas, Now that he’s dropped down to listed class there will be no excuses. There are a couple of unexposed types at the forefront of the market, however he still has the potential to put a disappointing run aside and progress himself. If he brings his A game here, he should be bang there at the finish. +6

11th July Ascot 2.05 Melnikova 9/2 1pt EW (4 places) the form of her maiden has worked out very well. I’d be willing to write off her next run. She makes her handicap debut in a class 3 off a mark of 83. She is potentially in here very lightly with the likes of stylistique who she beat on debut currently on a mark of 106 and Run wild who was back in 4th who is currently rated 109. I’d be hopefully that Melnikova can be involved at the business end here. – 2

3.35 Newmarket Threat 0.5pts EW @10/1 bet 365 (4 places) the drop back to 6f will help. I think the further they go, the further golden horde will beat him. However at 6f, I don’t think there’s a great deal between them. So therefore Threat offers a bit of EW value imo at current odds of 10/1 with 4 places.-1

4.55 Auteuil. Pacha SENAM. 0.5pt EW 5/1 (bet365). A bit of a risky one, so if anyone wants to sit it out, I wouldn’t knock it. PACHA SENAM hasn’t managed to complete in his last 2 starts. However he showed me absolutely plenty 2 starts ago before he tipped up, to make me think that he would be very capable of being involved in the finish of a race like this, providing of course that he can have a clear round. +0

9.07am go back in on pacha senam 0.5pt EW 5/1 Bet365 with resplendor out, who I personally saw as one of the main dangers. With Bet 365 Keeping pacha senam at 5/1 without him in the field. It would be rude not to go back in. +0

2.30 Downpatrick
Bloodstone 7/1 (bet 365)
0.5pt EW
bloodstone ran well enough against 2 quality horses in ptp’s finishing 2nd behind ferny Hollow and then it sure is, showing that jumping isn’t an issue. He bombed on a bumper behind energumene after a long break. Then subsequently ran ok in a good Novice hurdle over 2m4 at roscommon. He steps up to 2m6 here which he has shown he gets in his latter ptp, this looks to me like a lower quality race, the short price fav is not unbeatable, and I’d like to think he can go well enough here. – 1

6 45 leopardstown Gin blossom 9/4 bet365 2pts win. Koola boola and gin blossom imo have the standout form going into the race. The step back up in trip will help gin blossom, who was flying at the finish last time. Bestrella who was a neck behind koola boola last time had already been beaten 5L behind gin blossom over the longer trip. So the fast finish of gin blossom last time wasn’t just her mowing down tired horses, she had the form to do it. She had to go the long way round being switched where nothing was in her favour. The 3 pounds she receives today negotiates the slightly worse terms here, but the longer trip should see improvement from last time and therefore I’d be very hopeful that the form can be reversed. she is not slow, however cheek pieces are fitted for the 1st time here to sharpen her up, therefore she shouldn’t be left as much to do, imo she has every chance of winning here. +4.5

4.25 haydock Fahad 0.5pt EW 8/1 Bet365 4 places 1/4. he drops slightly back down in trip here which will suit and most importantly back down to class 5 level. He has been dropped a pound for last times debut in handicap company. Off a mark of 76 in a weaker race over a more suitable trip, I think 8/1 under estimates his chances. I’d like to think that he can be competitive here and therefore be involved at the business end of the race. 9.41 PM. After re watching watching all the video analysis of the horses in the race, I have decided that…. – 1

Mafia power 6/1 bet 365 0.5 pts EW 1/4 is also a bet in the same race. I’m very happy to go in with the pair here. They have related form having been closely matched in the same race, Mafia power ran in a far stronger race than this on his next start and ran with great credit, he gets in here off a 2 pounds lower mark than fahad, to me they are BOTH standout picks in the race, we are getting the 4 places rather than the 5, however we are getting higher odds on the win and better place terms with a 1/4. I expect both to be involved at the business end of the race. +3.75

2.15 Newbury Mighty gurkha 0.5 pts EW 15/2 888 sport. 7/1 with 365 and Skybet. Mighty gurkha bolted up on debut then ran a solid race in the windsor castle behind some very nice types, He steps back up in trip to 6f here which should suit, Down to a weaker listed contest i’d like to think that he should be involved at the business end of the race. +0.25

3.05 York. Dark lady 16/1. Shades of blue 14/1. Both 0.5 pts EW 5 places sky bet. I like them both. Its a very tough and competitive big field race, however the prices are right. The trips fine for dark lady, shades of blue in particular, has been crying out for a step up back to 6f. Its a drop in class for both. They are both from are horses to follow, who have just happened to find the same opportunity. I’d be hopeful they can be involved at the business end of the race here. -0.10

5.15 curragh Magnanimous 5/1 5 places (EW extra, bet 365) 1pt EW I think he is considerably overpriced in this market with the 5 places, effectively imo giving you a free shot at the win. He has all the right future entries, his form last time has been franked by the blue panther being narrowly beaten by the rail way stakes winner, to glory ran well in the same very strong race, and georgio vasari won his maiden well on his next start. I think the fav of today’s race is pretty useful also and has the right entries, however magnanimous has his own legitimate chance of which his price under estimates, imo he should be involved in the business end of the race. I’ll be very disappointed if he’s out the 5. And not suprised if he managed to win. +0

8.15 ballinrobe Shumaker 0.5pts EW 6/1 Bet365 Shumaker wasn’t upto much last time he ran on the flat, however he has been very progressive over hurdles lately going up 32 pounds in a matter of months. He gets in here off his lowly flat rating of 45 with a 5 pound claimer on board. If he manages to show the same attitude to which he has over obstacles of late, he could well be thrown in, and imo is worth taking a chance on. +3.75

6.45 Naas
Myrcella 0.5pts EW @ 7/1
(Bet 365) 4 places 1/4
she’s consistent but seems to bump into a couple. I expect her to attempt to make all here, cheek pieces are applied and i’d be hopeful that it may be the key to her sticking to her job and finally getting her head infront. She’s on a winnable mark, there shouldn’t be any hard luck stories out the front, so if she’s good enough, she should be involved at the finish. +0.38

1.30 leopardstown Fernando vichi 4/1 2pts EW Bet 365 he went down by just a nose on debut to Jessica Harrington Los andes, the winner is seemingly highly regarded having an entry in the the group 1 national stakes. Fernando vichi should come on from his debut run however imo even a repeat of that effort may well be good enough here. His future entry in the futurity stakes group 2 shows that despite his long odds on debut, it wasn’t a big surprise. The current fav has all the entries but was 2 places behind our selection last time. The way he stayed on last time, I would be hopeful that Fernando vichi can confirm the form here and take victory. I would be disappointed appointed if he is out of the places. +7.5

Tramore 6.15 Memories remain 5/1 bet 365 1pt pts EW. Memories remain has yet to win a race, however has some very solid form, she finished 3rd last time, headed before the last over 2m6 beaten just over 20L to soldiers Hill in imo what was a considerably stronger race. The drop back to 2 miles will strongly suit here, and I’d be disappointed if she can’t be involved at the business end of the race. – 2

7.15 tramore. Knock on steel
6/1 Bet365. 0.5 pts EW
knock on steel won his maiden chase last time and revert back to hurdles here off a mark of 104. Convara who he beat last time was going well last time when he tipped up at the last in a decent little race won by David’s charm. I’d like to think that knock on steel can be involved at the business end of the race here. – 1

3.05 Gowran Never forgotten 0.5pts EW @ 7/1 (Paddy Power) so wonderful is a very obvious one here, however even at this level it is somewhat possible that she won’t get the strong pace what she needs. She can run a huge race when they go off to fast in far better company, however run a stinker when the race isn’t ran to suit. Never forgotten has ran with great credit in 2 maidens, firstly behind the highly tried roca roma on debut then 2nd behind the dermot weld trained newcomer Etneya in a decent little race with a few nice types behind her. Never forgotten has a future entry in a group 3 race over 12f at Cork so I’d be willing to take a chance that there could well be more to come from her here and be hopeful that she may even give so wonderful something to think about. +4.2

1.00 York Oti ma boati 5/1 sky bet 0.5pts EW big drop in class here into a class 4 handicap, which I’d like to think that she’d strongly appreciate and can be involved in the finish here. +3

4.40 curragh Nulifier 10/1 Bet365 0.5 pts EW we backed elusive King EW in the race he ran in last time, before the race I thought that nulifier was the one to beat. I’d expect him to come on considerably for the run, and would be hopeful that he can see the race out better and be involved at the business end of the race. – 1

4.10 galway Wembley 11/8 (Boyle sports) 2 pts win. wembley was very well backed and ran a nice race when out battled by the very smart mac swiney. I really rate the winner and think the race itself will work out very well. The 1st 4 home in that race had all the entries, and I would be disappointed if Wembley can’t win this and go on to bigger and better things in the near future. Imo He may up to placing at the least in group company before the seasons out, So I’d be very hopeful that he can shed his maiden tag here and take all the beating. -2

2.15 goodwood Encipher 8/1 sky bet 0.5 pts EW 4 places. I like Al madhar a lot, who beat encipher a neck 2 starts ago. They were closely matched again last time in a very strong race. Not a single horse in here would have been anywhere near the places in that race imo, so I wouldn’t knock the finishing position. However, frustratingly the handicapper has gone and put him up 6 pounds for effectively being tailed off. If he hadn’t been put up 6, I’d be very keen. As it stands he’s drifted to a price where I’m willing to take a chance on him taking to account the weight attached. dropped into handicap company I think he’s the best horse in the race, it’s just whether or not he can win off a pretty high mark of 98. Hopefully he can progress further and be involved at the business end of the race here. +0.3

31st July Sir busker 2.45 goodwood 7/1 4 places (betfred/boyles) 1pt EW he was very unlucky last time losing all of his momentum over 7f when coming with a winning run. He’s gone up 5 pounds how ever he’s up to the mile and I personally think he has a very solid chance of winning in a competitive race. -2

6.15 galway My sister Sarah 12/1 EW 5 places William Hill 2pts EW as you can tell by the stake. I’m very keen on my sister Sarah here in a handicap hurdle over 2m6. I personally think that if she wasn’t Brought down in the Martin pipe by column of fire, that she would have placed at the bare minimum, as I know just how much she finds off the bridle. She’s had a pipe opener on the flat over a trip too short but ran with great credit. I have been waiting for this opportunity to back her over 2m6-3m in a handicap hurdle for a long while, and I’m all over her here. If I’m wrong then so be it, but I’ll personally be disappointed if she Dosen’t ATLEAST hit the frame. +2.8

Total Stakes 192pts +129.08pts. +72.44% ROI  as of 28th september.

+£2581.60 to a £20 stake

Leopardstown 4.30 Too soon to panic 6/1 bet365 0.5 PTS EW I like federica Sophia of dermot weld who chased home too soon to panic before landing her maiden. Too soon to panic managed to beat her before going on to run in a strong handicap, the form of that race last time out with Elizabethofaragon and wilderness is very solid with both the above coming in to that race with resounding wins. I see no reason why bella Brazil will turn around that form here. In that race The likes of katiba was back in 6th there, so Imo the race has a strong look to it and should work out well at this level. Therefore I’m willing to take a chance on too soon to panic being good enough to be involved at the business end of the race here and confirm her superiority over bella Brazil. +0.1

Pontefract 2.50
Shades of blue
2pts win @5/2 Paddy power

Shades of blue imo is the best of these. She has been tried highly in the past, and drops down to the easiest race she’s ran in since last year, where she came 2nd in the very same race.
To my eye, This years renewal looks weaker than last years, The ground is no issue , she should be fully fit, and this is most definitely her trip.
They’ve opted for the first time headgear here, There are no excuses, quite simply I’ll be disappointed if she doesn’t win. -2

4.45 Newbury
HMS president
1pt EW 5/1 William Hill
 4 places HMS president has been running very solid races in considerably better handicaps than this. Hes in here at class 4 level, his form reads well, and he should be very competitive here. I’ll be disappointed if hes out the 4, with him having a very credible win chance. Mafia power looks to be a clear danger, he was hampered last time after going up 10 pounds to a mark of 85 for winning a class 5 nicely. However, HMS president is the one for me here. +0

4.15 dundalk Baby Zeus @11/2 1pt EW (4 places 1/4) bet365. His form is very solid, his run last time when finishing 3rd behind the smart red Kelly, has been massively cranked by sunchart and emperor of the sun. Baby Zeus should be very competitive here off a mark of 91. Broke slowly, given no chance. -2

3.35 Newbury
Caroline dale 1.5pts EW at 7/2 betvictor
Sardinia sunset 1 pt EW @13/2 (hills
) they both have very solid form, although sardinia sunset was well held last time out, it was in a strong race which has little comparison to this. With her sights lowered here, i expect her to uphold the form with country carnival which should see her into the places, caroline dale has ran a stormer every race and has finished just in front of sardinia sunset at a higher level, this is the weakest contest she’s ran in imo. There are plenty of unexposed winners in the race, however our 2 selections set the standard that they have to rise to, imo I expect both to go well here, we could easily have a win and a place. -2.19

1.00 tipperary Voice of hope 0.5 pts ew 8/1 bet365 voice of hope was rated 74 on the flat at his peak, and couldn’t get anywhere bear the places in handicaps off Mark’s in the high 60s. He made his hurdles debut finishing 6th. 11L behind little brother at balinrobe. He made a little bit of a mess of the last and faded to 6th on the run in. This is a really poor race, if he benefits for the experiance and has a clear round, hes shown as least as much on that start as the rest of them have before, while he’s open to further improvement and any, could well see him go close -1 Fell

2.45 York Sir busker 13/2 1pt EW Paddy power 5 places for reasoning please see the July thread. Nothings changed since then. +0.63

York 3.15 one voice 13/2 1pt win insurebet 2 places (money back if 2nd) william hill. I’d be in the big minority here. But I dont think love is the superstar that people are making out. I strongly question what she has beaten to date. Therefore i’m willing to take her on with one voice, with the backup of money back if she is 2nd. She’s the best horse love has faced this season imo, the step up in trip will suit, and I wouldnt be surprised at all if she gives love something to think about here. -1

2.05 leopardstown
Roca Roma 4/1
1pt EW 4/1 bet365.
 She showed alot of talent on debut and is obviously highly regarded from both the entries in which she’s taken up, and the supplementary fee paid to put her into the irish 1000 guineas. She ran poorly last time, but managed to drop 2 pounds down to a mark of 90. this is a big drop in grade, of which she should strongly appreciate . It would be disappointing if she can’t show up well here. +5

York 3.45 friday Dingle 0.5pts EW 10/1 William hill. Dingle showed promise on his debut. Then was put set to line up in a race which richard hannon uses at goodwood for nice types. He was the better fancied of the 2 hannon had declared for the race, with the other who was left in to run, duly running a stormer. The reason he was a nr there was due to the ground being on the firm side, there are no such issues here. I’d be hoping he’d be able to leave his debut form behind and go well here. +0.75

2.50 naas Giorgio Vasari 18/1 0.5 pts EW (4 places) William hill he was on a steep upward curve before running in what imo was the strongest 2yo race of the season. There was no shame in the result there, such as the competitive nature of the race. Although this is deeper than the races which he has won previously, I’d still like to think that he can continue on an upward curve here and be involved. He should be prominent and be bang there with 2f to go, hopefully he can see out his race and not be ran out of the 4 here. It wouldnt be a complete shock to me, if he manage to keep his head infront. -1

3.05 sandown. billesden brook. 1pt EW at 5/1 betvictor. She should be very competitive here, she should be staying on late, and I’d be hopeful that she can get up in the shadow of the post. +0

2.20 naas Baby zeus 1pt EW 5/1 (5 places) Bet victor. Please see last time.

Hopefully this time baby zeus will break better from the stalls and just as importantly he can be put into a better position during the early stages of the race, so that he will have a win chance. -2

5.27 dieppe. Horse maha 1.5pts EW 4/1 bet365. He was going very well on debut when he outjumped the horse infront, and subsequently unseated via going into the back of him. I’d be confident that he would have gone very close there. Last time out he was held right up and made up a huge ammount of ground once the leaders had already flown for home, imo with a more prominent ride, he should be going very close here. I’ll be very disappointed if he’s out the 3, and wont be surprised at all if he puts his prior experience to good use and can get of the mark in the juvenile hurdling ranks. +7.5

Haydock 3.25
Golden horde
15/2 EW (4 places)
Betfair sportsbook
1pt EW
 I like golden horde alot, he’ll go out and attempt to make all, he didn’t appreciate the step up in distance last time, and imo he has a bit about him, where when something comes to him, to date hes been pretty generous with what he finds off the bridle. I’d be hopeful that in a very competitive race, that he can find for pressure and may be able to steal this and just stay infront at the line. +0.88

11.30
la teste de buch
Charlesquint
1pt EW @4/1
Paddy power
. He has ran very consistently at a good level, his last 2 runs were imo in stronger races than today. Hes closely matched with the fav ziegfred on a line through natural path. I personally dont thing Ziefried progressed his form to win last time, I think it was an average race compared to the one which Charlesquint ran in. Arguably charlesquint did more there in finishing 3rd. I think the prior form of the pair is the best in the race, and subsequently I’ll be disappointed if charlesquint finishes out the 3, I wont be surprised at all if he managed to get his head infront here. -0.2

4.00 longchamp Grocer jack W/O hurricane dream and dawn intello. 9/2 1 pt win. Bet 365. I have the 2 that we’re betting without as the best of the french, hurricane dream shades it and is the one to beat imo. Grocer jack the german raider boasts some smart form (receiving weight) with the likes of barney Roy and nagano gold. Having previously ran a stormer finishing 4th in the german derby (with drugs in his system). That form may leave him infront of the chasing pack. Maybe even infront of the 2 were betting without. So at 9/2 I think it’s worth taking a small chance on him being good enough without what I perceive to be the best 2 of the french. If my interpretation of the form book is correct, Imo you’re basically getting 9/2 on grocer jack in a match bet to beat fantastic spirit. -1

Doncaster 3.15
Althiqa
1pt EW
6/1 william hill
 althiqa has been a model of consistency, this is her grade and imo herself and cloak of spirits have the pick of the form, at 6/1 i believe that althiqa is the best value in the race, I’d be disappointed if she is out of the 4, and not surprised at all, if she manages to get her head Infront here. +0.2

5.30 cork. Ace aussie 13/2 bet365 1pt EW I have respect for colotlir sergeant, it wont be long before he will be winning his maiden, however he hasn’t managed to win yet yet he’s priced accordingly. The form of ace aussie debut has worked out very well indeed, I like Wembley and mac Swinney alot with the pair finishing just behind our selection here, Ace aussie has the best form on offer priced up at 13/2. Any improvement at all, should see him go very close. +6.09

Longchamp 4.55. Gannat. 1pt EW bet365 4/1
She has ran well giving away weight, before winning nicely last time against a few of these which face her again today, this is more competative, however imo the terms of today’s very competitive race makes her well treated and gives her every chance of getting her head infront here.
Both Gannat and her stablemate Genola I’m lead to believe are open for private sale, and regardless of that, they are being targeted towards the mares novice hurdle at the Cheltenham festival for current trainer Alain couetil. He has rolled the dice today however regardless of todays result, The pair of them are worth noting as they come out of bumper company into mares novice hurdle races in the near future. Either or both may even end up in a top yard on these shores shortly. +4.8

2.40 Doncaster
Frenetic 1pt EW 7/1 (4 places)
Skybet
. I really like frenetic, on a line through miss amulet, I dont see why she is 7/1 here. I see frenetic as more of 7/2 chance myself. Her form is rock solid, i see no excuses why she cant perform at her best, and I’ll be disappointed if she is out of the 4 here . I think she’ll go close. -2

2.00 leopardstown. No speak Alexander 0.5pts EW 5/1Unibet (if you have the option to use 1 or more uni-boosts to suit your stake, avail and take 11/2) Her forms solid, her win on her 2nd start was no fluke, she won it nicely and the 2nd has gone on the win a group 3. Her run in france last time was of a good standard. I see no excuses here, quite simply Imo She should be going close in this company. +0

2.55 longchamp. English king 11/2 (888 sport)1pt EW Mogul 7/1 1 pt EW (coral) imo on the balance of all their form they are the 2 best horses in the race, i see no reason why they cant perform to their best, and I believe they are both overpriced, imo serpentine was given a very soft lead at Epsom and was subsequently flattered, so we’re going in here double handed looking for a win AND a place. I’ll be disappointed if neither goes very close. +6.75

3.45 Naas
Hype 0.5 pts EW
6/1 bet365
 hype was running a very solid race in what imo was the strongest maiden of the year, when he got badly hampered, lost all momentum then still finished handily in 8th place. imo he he would have finished a close enough 4th or 5th there. The form of the race is absolutely rock solid, even 8th looks good in this context. So I’d be very hopeful that he can go well here, confirm the promise that he showed on debut and be involved in the business end of the race. +0.1

8.30 dundalk Bolivar 3/1 bet 365 1pt win. We backed him in his maiden at 12/1 and he followed up again nicely next time. I dont think that he’s a certainty here, however I think he is value at 3/1. I have respect for order of Australia, he has ran in high quality races with great credit. But where I think the value with bolivar lies is that he could be allowed a freebie out front here, if allowed to dictate, in my eyes he would become automatic fav in running, he sees out his races well and is not going to fall into a hole. I believe he is still progressing, I’d be hopeful that he can take this and move on to bigger and better things, he was taken out of a group 3 last week due to the ground, that’s the sort of level i believe he is. If that’s correct, he should be going very close here. -1

2.00 Gowran La Jaconde 0.5pts EW 5/1 bet365 she may be 2nd string on jockey bookings, but certainly isn’t on race course form. Her maiden has worked out very well indeed. She stated in well in the closing stages of the race, I’d like to think she will have learned alot there and will strip sharper for the run. She should have a very credible chance of being involved at the business end of the race. 1

4.55 Gowran
ETNAYA 5/1 1 PT EW
 Bet365
EPONA PLAYS 1 PT EW
 Bet365

4 Pts Total.

We’re going in double handed, looking for a win AND a place+6

3.10 listowel Cerberus 1pt win 10/3 (hills / betvictor) firstly it’s worth noting that fujimoto flyer planted her feet and refused to race at auteuil, she diddnt look like she wanted to be there against solo either, so although she has talent, I’ll be ruling her out straight away for the foreseeable future. Cerberus however, jumps very well, contrary to the report below, I believe him to be a pretty uncomplicated ride, he has had a recent run and should be in decent shape. A mark of 138 without being lenient is fine as he’s the best horse in the race. I believe he possesses the experience and class to go very close. The stewards report below, is an interesting piece of reading. I personal think they have had this race in mind all along and expect him to go well here. -1

3.10 auteuil
Figuero
0.5pts EW 11/2 bet 365
 figuero was extremely progressive before disappointing last time, I’d be of the opinion that he is worth another chance here. It’s a tough race, however if he puts in the performance he did on any of his 2 runs prior to last time, he should be strongly involved here. +3.44

4.30 listowel Ravenhill 0.5pts EW (5 places) 8/1 Hills/ Boyle’s . He is solid, he finished 2nd in this last year, he won the national hunt chase even though conditions may not have been to his liking, hes an uncomplicated ride who jumps well. And this is both his type of race and his level. Everything seems good But his mark of 153 is too high. However, Gordon has teamed up with Mr R James who won the trainer the Kim muir, to take a very valuable 7 pounds off his back. Imo he’s well worth his claim and he can make all the difference here. I expect ravenhill to go well and hopefully be involved at the business end of a very competitive race. As I’m typing this, he has drifted and the 10/1 with paddy power and the extra place is well worth taking. For recording purposes I’ll stick with the 8s that it was when I posted on Twitter. Fell. -1

Bonus bet

4.15 Perth. La bague au roi 1pt win 9/4 888sport. ALL BUT FELL

3.25 perth. Stoners choice. 2pts EW 11/4 bet365. Has rock solid form in this context. The right handed track in this company looks exactly what’s required, he Should go extremely close here. And I’d be distraught if hes out of the places. Which would give a decent portion back should he manage to get beat in the finish. +6.88

3.20 listowel Meanformhair 0.5pts win 8/1 Tresorier 0.5 pts win 8/1 Bet365 tresorier is in fine form, he finished 2nd at a big price then backed that up by winning next time out. He hasnt yet managed to win over this trip, however If he continues his sharp incline, he should be involved here. -1

Meanfomhair has very solid form at this level, he slightly disappointed as fav last time, however now it is more than factored into his price. Imo he should go off the likely fav. Good chance.

3.45 compiegne. Fusion de baune has ran consistently to a good level in france. and although francois nicolle has a decent winning pair in here, I believe that gardes la monnaie is over rated and has ran against lesser opposition to what fusion de baune has. His other runner falbala des motttes remains the one to beat. However collateral form dosent leave us far behind if fusion de baune runs to the best of her ability. We may well be going in on her EW here. I’m currently awaiting other books to add to the market. I’m not advising just yet. But keep an eye out.

1.50 newmarket
Cloak of spirits
1pt EW (5 places)
11/2 SkyBet/hills
 she has the best form in the race, and also comes out best at the weights. Although imo 7f may be a slightly better trip for her, conditions here over a mile are in her favour. She holds foorat on French form, althiqa has showed that to be the pick of the form available, and that gives cloak of spirits a very solid ew chance here. Imo she should be a bet to nothing for the win. With the 5 places as a fallback. It would be no surprise to see her get her head infront. +6.8

Saturday.
3.00 newmarket
Lucky Vega
1pt EW
4/1
Betfred/ unibet…..
 imo lucky Vega is a solid betting prospect here on the back of his irish form, I believe he has ran in very strong races, compared to some of the opposition which imo have beaten average horses by a distance. Lucky vega, despite the name, was unlucky himself last time, he didn’t get a clear run. His prior form says to me, that he would have been involved there. At current prices of 4/1, I believe that underestimates his chances of winning. Imo he should be a general 9/4 5/2 chance. Therefore we are going in here with a solid chance of getting the win. I see him arriving late to be bang there at the business end of the race. I’ll be very disappointed if he is out of the 3. -0.2

4.05 Auteuil. James Du Berlais 7/4 bet365 1pt win. I like this lad alot, he is rock solid, progressive, and imo one of the most exciting young hurdlers in france. I cant wait to see him go novice chasing, but back to the task ahead tomorrow over hurdles. I’m surprised that he has opened up at 7/4. imo this is more than fair. I see him as an even money chance. He has improved with each run, jumps, travels and finishes out his races well, I expect him to go extremely close here. -1

Curragh 3.05 Vocito 0.5pts EW 9/1 bet365. Before I talk about vocito. dearf jazz (20/1) is worth noting as I saw what the trainer did with red Pantz, he has done exactly the same here. 3 runs in maidens. 2 pounds over weight each time, and now 1st time in a handicap with the 7 pound claimer on board. Kf anyone wanted a small win bet, i wouldnt knock it, alternatively it’s worth noting should it come off, as I’m liking what james m barrett is doing. Now on to VOCITO the magnanimous form is good, the 4th snowy owl has had some very nice entries, and has been backed accordingly. Vocito finished just infront of him last time, while managing to keep the mark of 74. I’m happy with this, in this context of race, I see it as a winnable mark, I would be hoping that vocito can be involved at the business end of the race. -1

Just to note.

There is likely another selection today in the 2.00 at curragh.

Angel palm 2.00 curragh 0.5pt EW 11/2 bet365 I have been patiently waiting on her drifting out to the current price of 11/2. I like her. She dissapointed on debut, imo as there wasn’t enough pace on, staying will be her forte and she sees out the trip very well at the distance. However that form has worked out well, so she should be marked up on that effort. On her next start she confirmed her promise, and duly won her maiden nicely. This is a big step up in class, however I am of the opinion that she is on the incline. There should be pace in the race, I see further improvement from angel palm and I expect her to be involved here at the business end of the race. I also think she will likely go up to the mile after this, which imo would see further improvement. -1

4.50 bath. Zulu zander 0.5pts EW 8/1 bet365 (4 places) bath being my local track, I know Zulu zander pretty well, one of the main things at bath, is you need to handle the quick ground conditions, this is no problem for zulu zander. He won a decent race there after shaping well in the broclesby beforehand. In total he has been to the track 4 times, and has ran well on each occasion. He has dropped right down the handicap to 67 and has william Buick in the saddle here. The drop In grade down to class 6, the lowest mark he has ran off, the conditions to suit at the track he performs his best. All lead me to believe that he is overpriced here and i make him a bet. +5

Published by scooby91tips

Professional horse racing .

3 thoughts on “2020 Historical Daily Bets

  1. Hi Shane. If there’s nothing by this time. I’m usually waiting for a drift on a particular selection. Of it doesn’t meet the price I want by around 11. 30 am Then there will be no bet. The easiest way is if you follow me on twitter and click the notification button. You will be the earliest to see.

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